Unión Mar del Plata vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
TFE
1 - 1
UNI
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
DFR
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
UNI
24%
25%
52%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
TAL
1 - 4
UNI
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
4 - 2
LIB
42%
28%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
ALV
2 - 2
LIB
33%
28%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
ALV
47%
27%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
ALV
0 - 0
TFE
23%
28%
49%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
DFR
1 - 0
ALV
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
MAI
0 - 0
ALV
55%
26%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |