Unión Magdalena vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 1
RIO
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 2
ACA
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
UNI
73%
17%
11%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
RSC
0 - 1
UNI
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
SAB
2 - 1
UNI
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ACA
2 - 2
RSC
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
RSC
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
RSC
0 - 0
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
RSC
0 - 1
UNI
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
RSC
0 - 1
ALI
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |