Unión Magdalena vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 0
UNI
45%
29%
27%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
JUN
2 - 0
UNI
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 1
REA
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
UNI
27%
29%
44%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 0
RIO
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
REA
1 - 0
RSC
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
RSC
0 - 1
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
RSC
2 - 1
ALI
62%
24%
15%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 0
RSC
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
RSC
1 - 2
BUC
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |