Unión Magdalena vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2015 |
PAS
2 - 0
UNI
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
RSC
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
UNI
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
AME
1 - 1
UNI
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
BOG
1 - 0
UNI
21%
27%
52%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2015 |
CUC
0 - 3
REA
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
REA
3 - 1
AFC
52%
24%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
REA
1 - 1
BUC
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
REA
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
REA
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |