Unión Magdalena vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
AFC
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
AME
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
UNI
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
QUI
26%
29%
46%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TFC
0 - 0
UNI
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
UNI
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
QUI
3 - 1
CAR
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
AME
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
AME
2 - 1
CAR
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
QUI
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |