Unión Magdalena vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 2
UNI
60%
23%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
4 - 0
BAR
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
RSC
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
COR
1 - 0
UNI
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
PER
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
BOG
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 0
CAR
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 2
JAG
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
TFC
75%
17%
9%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
CUC
1 - 0
CAR
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |