Unión Magdalena vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 2
COR
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 1
AGU
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
REA
0 - 0
UNI
41%
30%
29%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
UNI
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
PAS
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
ONC
3 - 0
CAR
59%
25%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 0
NAC
27%
28%
45%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CUC
2 - 0
CAR
59%
25%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
JUN
2 - 0
CAR
77%
16%
8%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |