Unión Magdalena vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
24.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
UNI
3 - 1
RIO
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 1
UNI
37%
29%
33%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 1
AGU
53%
25%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
TFC
1 - 0
UNI
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
SAB
1 - 1
UNI
36%
30%
34%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
RSC
1 - 0
CAR
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 2
SAB
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
REA
1 - 1
CAR
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
CAR
4 - 3
ALI
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
FOR
3 - 0
CAR
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |