Unión Magdalena vs La Sabana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 0
BAR
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SAB
1 - 1
UNI
34%
31%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 0
RSC
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
COR
2 - 0
UNI
42%
30%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 1
RSC
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
La Sabana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
AGU
4 - 1
SAB
58%
25%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SAB
1 - 1
UNI
34%
31%
36%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
REA
0 - 1
SAB
54%
26%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SAB
1 - 0
ALI
52%
27%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
SAB
1 - 1
JUN
12%
21%
67%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |