Unión Magdalena vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
53.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 1
PAT
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
RSC
1 - 3
UNI
47%
29%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 2
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 2
COR
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 1
AGU
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
JUN
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
JUN
4 - 1
QUI
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
JUN
4 - 0
HUI
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
JUN
4 - 1
RSC
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
AME
3 - 0
JUN
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |