Unión Magdalena vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
SFE
2 - 1
UNI
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
ONC
2 - 0
UNI
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 1
HUI
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
UNI
0 - 1
IND
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
COR
3 - 1
UNI
29%
28%
44%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
JUN
2 - 1
MIL
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2004 |
JUN
0 - 0
PER
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
TOL
1 - 1
JUN
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 1
JUN
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
JUN
2 - 0
PAS
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |