Unión Magdalena vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
LEO
1 - 1
UNI
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BOG
2 - 1
UNI
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
UNI
5 - 1
REA
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 2
UNI
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
BOG
3 - 1
UNI
24%
23%
53%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 1
QUI
30%
25%
46%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 1
LLA
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
RSC
0 - 1
FOR
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 1
ORS
61%
22%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |