Unión Magdalena vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PER
4 - 1
UNI
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 3
NAC
31%
29%
40%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
PAS
2 - 0
UNI
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 3
CHI
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
JUN
2 - 1
UNI
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
40%
27%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 0
MIL
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2004 |
TOL
3 - 2
LIB
28%
24%
48%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
PER
2 - 2
TOL
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
TAC
2 - 0
TOL
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |