Unión Magdalena vs Atlético Fútbol Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
UNI
27%
28%
45%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
TFC
1 - 1
UNI
19%
28%
53%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
PER
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
UNI
34%
29%
38%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 0
REA
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 0
AFC
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
AFC
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 1
TFC
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PER
3 - 2
AFC
73%
18%
10%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 3
UNI
30%
26%
43%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |