Unión Magdalena vs Atlético Fútbol Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
RSC
2 - 0
UNI
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
UNI
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
TFC
37%
28%
34%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 0
UNI
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 1
UNI
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 0
UNI
21%
26%
53%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PER
2 - 0
AFC
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 1
ACA
20%
26%
54%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
COR
2 - 1
AFC
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
4 - 2
AFC
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |