Copa Colombia 1/64
Global 4-3
Unión Magdalena vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 1
QUI
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 0
TFC
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
LLA
4 - 0
UNI
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -3 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
ONC
3 - 1
UNI
65%
22%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 2
BUC
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
COR
2 - 0
BOG
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
BOG
0 - 4
HUI
35%
29%
36%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -3 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
LEO
0 - 0
BOG
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
BOG
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
BOG
0 - 3
FOR
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |