Unión Lara vs Zamora II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
YAR
6 - 0
ULA
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
ULA
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
5 - 1
ULA
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
POL
1 - 1
ULA
27%
25%
47%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ULA
1 - 2
URE
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Zamora II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 2
ZAM
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ZAM
0 - 1
ATL
61%
21%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
POL
1 - 0
ZAM
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ZAM
3 - 0
URE
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
FAL
4 - 3
ZAM
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |