Unión Lara vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
MON
2 - 0
ULA
34%
24%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FAL
1 - 2
ULA
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
ULA
0 - 1
MON
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
BAR
5 - 2
ULA
41%
24%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
URE
3 - 0
LOT
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
LOT
0 - 3
URE
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CDS
3 - 2
URE
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
URE
2 - 2
POL
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
LOT
1 - 0
URE
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |