Unión Lara vs Falcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ULA
1 - 1
ZAM
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
YAR
6 - 0
ULA
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
ULA
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
5 - 1
ULA
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
POL
1 - 1
ULA
27%
25%
47%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FAL
2 - 1
ATL
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
5 - 1
FAL
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FAL
2 - 2
POL
46%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
URE
2 - 1
FAL
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ZUL
0 - 0
FAL
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |