Unión Lara vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
URE
0 - 2
ULA
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ULA
1 - 1
FAL
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ULA
1 - 1
ZAM
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
YAR
6 - 0
ULA
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
ULA
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 2
POL
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
POL
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
POL
0 - 0
CAR
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
ZUL
1 - 1
POL
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
POL
1 - 0
URE
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |