Lara FC vs UCLA FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
LAR
0 - 5
GAS
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
TUR
1 - 0
LAR
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
LAR
2 - 1
BAR
41%
27%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
AME
1 - 5
LAR
13%
21%
66%
|
56 | 23 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
LAR
1 - 0
ZUL
38%
27%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UCLA FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
ITA
5 - 2
UCL
73%
18%
10%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
BAR
3 - 0
UCL
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
UCL
1 - 1
ZUL
23%
25%
52%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
TRU
2 - 3
UCL
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
UCL
4 - 3
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |