Lara FC vs UA Maracaibo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LOT
0 - 0
LAR
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
ZAM
2 - 1
LAR
78%
14%
7%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
LAR
0 - 2
UAS
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ZAM
1 - 1
LAR
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
LAR
1 - 1
ZAM
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
UA Maracaibo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
LLA
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 1
LOT
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +3 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
UAS
2 - 2
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 2
ZAM
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -3 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
MAR
59%
24%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |