Lara FC vs SD Centro Ítalo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
LAR
1 - 0
TUR
72%
18%
11%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 0
LAR
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 2
LAR
22%
24%
54%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
ZUL
4 - 0
LAR
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
LAR
0 - 0
TRU
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SD Centro Ítalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ITA
0 - 0
EST
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
GAS
2 - 1
ITA
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
HER
0 - 1
ITA
29%
24%
48%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 2
UCV
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 3
ZUL
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |