Lara FC vs Real Bolívar FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 2
LAR
55%
24%
22%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 0
LAR
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LAR
3 - 0
ATL
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CDS
1 - 0
LAR
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LOT
2 - 2
LAR
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Bolívar FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 0
URE
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 0
DEP
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 2
BOL
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 1
CDS
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 0
ZAM
48%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |