Lara FC vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
45.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
ATL
0 - 1
LAR
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
LAR
3 - 0
ZAM
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
YAR
1 - 0
LAR
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
UCV
1 - 2
LAR
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
UCL
1 - 3
LAR
20%
23%
57%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
EST
0 - 1
LLA
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 3
EST
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
EST
4 - 1
POR
29%
26%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
ARA
4 - 1
EST
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
EST
3 - 0
MIN
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |