Lara FC vs Caracas II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 6
LAR
17%
24%
60%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
LAR
3 - 0
HER
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
LAR
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
LAR
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
LAR
5 - 2
ATL
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 1
UCV
65%
20%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 0
CAR
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
4 - 3
CDS
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
EST
1 - 2
CAR
53%
25%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 1
CES
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |