Lara FC vs Caracas II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
LAR
4 - 1
ATL
50%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ZAM
2 - 1
LAR
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
LAR
2 - 1
YAR
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
DEP
2 - 0
LAR
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
LAR
2 - 3
ITA
46%
25%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caracas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
UCV
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
UCL
0 - 2
CAR
21%
24%
55%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CAR
3 - 0
ATL
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
CAR
3 - 1
ATL
62%
21%
16%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |