Lara FC vs Caracas II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
LAR
2 - 2
ZUL
35%
27%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
TRU
2 - 3
LAR
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
LAR
1 - 1
UCV
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2007 |
LAR
1 - 0
UCL
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
LAR
0 - 5
GAS
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Caracas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 3
ITA
29%
25%
45%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2007 |
ZUL
0 - 2
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 0
GAS
22%
24%
54%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +3 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAR
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
ANG
1 - 1
CAR
72%
18%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |