UFC Hallein vs Grödig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
53.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
5º
12º
12º
12
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UFC Hallein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 3
STJ
13%
17%
70%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SAL
5 - 1
UNI
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
KUC
16%
19%
66%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
SEE
3 - 1
UNI
88%
10%
3%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SVA
0 - 0
UNI
88%
10%
3%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Grödig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 2
PIN
20%
23%
57%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
KUC
3 - 1
GRO
60%
19%
21%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ANI
2 - 0
GRO
69%
16%
15%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 1
WAL
34%
22%
44%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
STJ
2 - 0
GRO
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |