Unión Güemes vs Atlético Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
58.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Güemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 1
UNI
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
LAS
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
LAS
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 29 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
AMA
0 - 0
ATL
15%
23%
62%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
CON
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
ATL
2 - 1
HUR
29%
27%
43%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -6 |
| 03 Apr. 1983 |
ATL
2 - 2
REC
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |