Union Fürstenwalde vs Tasmania Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
5.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
5º
17º
10º
39
6º
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 30 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Fürstenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
DSC
3 - 0
UNI
17%
17%
66%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 2
RSV
73%
15%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
SCS
2 - 3
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
HER
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
FMS
0 - 3
UNI
7%
14%
79%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TAS
1 - 4
HZE
8%
14%
78%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MSV
2 - 1
TAS
71%
16%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TAS
0 - 3
RFC
18%
20%
62%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
TAS
0 - 0
OPT
25%
20%
55%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 0
TAS
40%
21%
39%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |