Union Fürstenwalde vs Rostocker FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
55.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
1º
16º
16º
23
3º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 83.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Fürstenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
RSV
2 - 1
UNI
80%
13%
8%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
SVS
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 4
LIC
6%
12%
82%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ANK
6 - 0
UNI
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
OPT
24%
21%
55%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rostocker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RFC
0 - 8
LIC
7%
15%
78%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ANK
6 - 2
RFC
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 4
OPT
35%
23%
42%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
DSC
2 - 1
RFC
38%
22%
41%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 1
TAS
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |