Unión Española vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
COL
2 - 0
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
ULC
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
UNI
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCO
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
ACS
0 - 1
UNI
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
UCO
3 - 2
BAR
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
COB
0 - 2
UCO
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
OHI
2 - 2
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
UCO
0 - 1
HUA
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
IQU
1 - 1
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |