Copa Chile Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Unión Española vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
UCO
0 - 0
UNI
47%
25%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 2
ACS
47%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SWA
2 - 3
UNI
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 4
SWA
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CSL
1 - 3
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
HUA
1 - 2
UCO
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 1
IQU
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
UCO
2 - 2
UCO
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 0
ANT
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ACS
4 - 1
UCO
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |