Unión Española vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
UNI
4 - 5
IVT
38%
24%
39%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ULC
4 - 0
UNI
36%
27%
38%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 1
UNI
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SWA
4 - 0
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 2
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 1
HUA
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
COL
1 - 2
UCO
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
UCO
2 - 1
SWA
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
OHI
0 - 0
UCO
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 1
ANT
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |