Unión Española vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
UNI
1 - 0
SWA
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
CSD
1 - 3
UNI
37%
25%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
UNI
2 - 3
PAL
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
UNI
1 - 0
STR
46%
25%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
DLS
3 - 0
UNI
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
UCO
2 - 2
PUE
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
OHI
0 - 2
UCO
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 3
CSD
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
UCO
3 - 2
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
UCH
2 - 1
UCO
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |