Unión Española vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 2
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
ACS
2 - 2
UNI
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 1
ANT
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
EVE
1 - 2
UNI
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 2
COL
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
UCO
1 - 1
CUR
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
IQU
0 - 1
UCO
24%
24%
51%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
UCO
3 - 0
HUA
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2020 |
UCO
1 - 1
SWA
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -3 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
ACS
2 - 2
UCO
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |