Unión Española vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 2
UNI
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 1
IQU
48%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
OHI
1 - 2
UNI
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
4 - 0
OHI
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
ACS
3 - 1
UNI
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 1
HUA
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 2
UCO
29%
24%
48%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
UCO
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 1
DEP
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
UCH
1 - 2
UCO
38%
24%
39%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |