Unión Española vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
SWA
0 - 0
UNI
38%
27%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 1
USF
82%
12%
5%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2017 |
USF
1 - 2
UNI
12%
20%
69%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
ACS
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 2
UNI
37%
26%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
UCO
0 - 0
UCO
62%
22%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
UCO
1 - 4
COL
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
CSD
0 - 1
UCO
10%
17%
73%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
UCO
0 - 0
UCO
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
UCO
2 - 3
ATP
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |