Unión Española vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
PAL
5 - 2
UNI
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 0
UCH
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
UNI
15%
21%
65%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
2 - 1
UNI
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
COL
59%
21%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
UCO
15%
21%
64%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 2
UCO
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
2 - 1
UNI
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
UCO
16%
23%
61%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
UCO
3 - 0
UCH
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |