Unión Española vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 3
UNI
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 3
UNI
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
USF
3 - 1
UNI
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
OHI
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 0
CSD
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 2
JUN
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 0
ANT
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
USF
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |