Unión Española vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 3
UNI
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
USF
3 - 1
UNI
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
OHI
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
JUN
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
6 - 1
CSL
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 2
JUN
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 0
ANT
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
USF
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
BOL
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
SWA
2 - 1
UCO
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |