Unión Española vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
SWA
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 2
UNI
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 0
BOL
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 2
COB
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 1
UNI
41%
25%
35%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ULC
2 - 1
UCO
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
UCO
3 - 1
ACS
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
IQU
0 - 2
UCO
27%
26%
46%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2011 |
NOB
0 - 2
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 3
ALI
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |