Apertura Finals Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Unión Española vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
UCH
0 - 1
UNI
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
UNI
2 - 1
HUA
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
PAL
2 - 3
UNI
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
UNI
1 - 2
CON
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
USF
2 - 1
UNI
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
UCO
2 - 1
CON
80%
13%
7%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
CON
1 - 2
UCO
27%
25%
49%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
CSD
1 - 3
UCO
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 2
EVE
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
CSL
0 - 0
UCO
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |