Clausura Finals Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Unión Española vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
UCH
3 - 2
UNI
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2004 |
UNI
4 - 3
UCH
46%
25%
30%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 1
EVE
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
USF
0 - 2
UNI
29%
24%
46%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2004 |
UNI
0 - 0
PUE
65%
20%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
UCO
6 - 2
DEP
63%
19%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2004 |
DEP
3 - 1
UCO
39%
24%
38%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
UCO
0 - 1
CSL
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
UCH
0 - 0
UCO
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
UCO
4 - 1
DLS
67%
18%
15%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |