Unión Española vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
UNI
4 - 1
USF
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
ACS
3 - 2
UNI
48%
24%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 1
CSL
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
COL
3 - 3
UNI
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
UNI
4 - 2
HUA
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
UCO
2 - 0
ACS
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
CSL
1 - 1
UCO
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
UCO
2 - 5
COL
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2003 |
UCO
0 - 1
CDP
77%
15%
9%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
HUA
1 - 3
UCO
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |