Copa Chile Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Unión Española vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 5
PAL
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
USF
0 - 0
UNI
23%
24%
53%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
HUA
1 - 3
UNI
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 5
IQU
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
UNI
24%
27%
49%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
USF
3 - 2
COQ
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
USF
0 - 0
UNI
23%
24%
53%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
DCO
0 - 6
USF
30%
28%
43%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
USF
2 - 0
SAN
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
DLS
0 - 2
USF
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |