Copa Libertadores qualifying 1st Round Final
Global 3-2
Unión Española vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
UCH
3 - 0
UNI
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 1
UCH
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 2
UNI
38%
26%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
5 - 2
ACS
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
TIG
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
TIG
1 - 0
QRO
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TIG
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2011 |
TIG
3 - 1
SAN
45%
26%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
TIG
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |