Copa Libertadores qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 1-6
Unión Española vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
OHI
2 - 0
UNI
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 0
CER
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 3
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
CER
2 - 3
UNI
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
OHI
47%
24%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
STR
3 - 2
NAC
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
STR
4 - 0
MWA
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
STR
2 - 1
JWI
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
MWA
0 - 2
STR
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
STR
28%
27%
46%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |