Copa Sudamericana 1/16
Global 0-6
Unión Española vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
38.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
ULC
1 - 2
UNI
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCO
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
COQ
2 - 0
UNI
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 2
ACS
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 4
EVE
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 0
SPC
24%
23%
53%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
SPC
4 - 0
SAM
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 1
SPC
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
PIR
0 - 0
SPC
19%
25%
56%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 1
UNI
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |